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Trampy
Pooh-Bah


Reged: 04/02/02
Posts: 1194
Loc: Southwest U.S.
Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS
      03/09/04 12:07 PM

People who have no knowledge of risk analysis usually have an irrational over-reaction to the possibility of low-probability/high-consequence events. The fact of the matter is that these arrests for small amounts are very rare, but entirely possible.

It's faulty logic to assume that if it happened to someone somewhere, that it WILL happen to you. Maybe the people who are so fearful should learn some basic probability and statistics and then look up the odds of various misfortunes for which we all face the risk of occurrence on a random basis.

I'll bet that more people are killed by lightning every year than are arrested for purchasing small amounts by mail. Lightning kills about 200 per year in the U.S.

Drunk drivers kill almost 20,000 per year. Medication taken as prescribed or dispensed kills 100,000 per year according to an article in JAMA.

Yes, fear is contagious. But most people worry about the very unlikely misfortunes and ignore the much more common risks we face. How many people wear a helmet every time they get into a car? ... it could very well save their life and it would arguably be a cost-effective risk-reduction measure. But no, we don't want to think about that.

Risk perception is a very interesting field of study. Several of its axioms have been demonstrated right here in this thread. A good introduction can be found in the work by Viscusi.

Trampy

--------------------
Your mileage may vary ...

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* Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Luvak9 02/08/04 08:39 AM
. * * Going to court WITHIN a week is awful fast kimbell1   10/20/04 10:16 PM
. * * Re: Going to court WITHIN a week is awful fast stevesmith   10/21/04 06:21 AM
. * * Re: Going to court WITHIN a week is awful fast Yeppers   10/21/04 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Going to court WITHIN a week is awful fast stevesmith   10/21/04 10:32 AM
. * * Re: Going to court WITHIN a week is awful fast t_oshan2003   10/22/04 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ DrugBuyersAdministrator   05/28/04 04:10 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ fxrguy   05/15/04 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Flavia   05/17/04 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ tone   03/21/04 06:08 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS homeworker77   09/04/04 07:29 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Stardog   09/04/04 09:49 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Opie_Yates   10/17/04 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS stevesmith   10/18/04 07:46 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS pwptds   10/18/04 09:42 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS hydro853   10/18/04 08:00 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   09/04/04 10:09 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS doglover82   09/09/04 05:51 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Stardog   09/09/04 06:09 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Stardog   09/04/04 10:19 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   09/04/04 09:32 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ dhc_60   03/23/04 06:05 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Listvoer   03/25/04 05:39 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ harleymom45   03/27/04 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Listvoer   03/27/04 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ henry1   02/08/04 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ sigmund   02/08/04 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ yawkaw3   02/08/04 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ sigmund   02/09/04 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Trampy   02/08/04 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ sigmund   02/09/04 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Billyl   02/09/04 08:32 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ yawkaw3   02/08/04 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Whatsnew   02/08/04 09:37 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ beansforyou   02/08/04 09:52 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Trampy   02/08/04 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ yawkaw3   02/08/04 09:48 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Gola   05/24/04 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ IMSUSCOT1   05/24/04 06:11 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ royj   04/06/04 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ dman12   04/08/04 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Daycamp72   02/10/04 02:05 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ night_shade   02/09/04 05:33 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ CHEESE   02/09/04 06:29 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Dante6677   02/09/04 07:47 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ gage   02/09/04 08:59 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Anglwink   04/03/04 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ turcica   02/09/04 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ joesentme   02/09/04 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ plotinus   02/09/04 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ DrugBuyersAdministrator   02/08/04 05:37 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Earl777   02/08/04 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Purple   02/08/04 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ zoe11   02/08/04 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ gottadoit   02/08/04 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ plotinus   02/08/04 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ PlyrLacy   02/08/04 09:58 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ plotinus   02/09/04 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Trampy   02/10/04 12:00 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Seano   02/10/04 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   02/10/04 06:40 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Seano   02/11/04 01:14 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Anglwink   04/03/04 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Jewel   04/05/04 12:15 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS night_shade   02/11/04 07:25 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ DrugBuyersAdministrator   02/08/04 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Purple   02/08/04 05:37 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ TLM2   09/09/04 02:04 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS tesla   09/21/04 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS lovely11   09/27/04 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS tesla   10/04/04 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS fromabove   10/15/04 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS stevesmith   10/16/04 11:52 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS tesla   10/22/04 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS penny67   10/05/04 07:15 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS tesla   10/15/04 12:12 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS jjewels   10/18/04 05:59 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS ReOkie   10/19/04 08:46 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS dollhog   10/20/04 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Snowpatrol   10/22/04 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS stevesmith   10/20/04 10:23 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS stevesmith   10/15/04 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ lolajones   09/12/04 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ meowsie   10/16/04 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ WickedNoah   10/16/04 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ oothibo   09/13/04 01:55 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Harry   10/16/04 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ TLM2   09/12/04 03:14 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ CATBOY2   09/13/04 11:39 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ mizzzj   02/08/04 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ misspiggy   02/08/04 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ FreddieC   02/08/04 11:46 AM
. * * It takes months as a rule to go to court I imagine kimbell1   03/19/04 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ turcica   02/08/04 12:58 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ sensorium   02/08/04 01:24 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Jedd   08/09/04 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ daddyj   08/31/04 02:02 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ infliksta   08/12/04 08:46 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ catmom   03/16/04 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Deedie   03/16/04 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ beansforyou   03/16/04 08:47 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ 14stones   03/17/04 07:53 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ catmom   03/17/04 09:37 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ beansforyou   03/17/04 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ henry1   03/17/04 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ turcica   03/19/04 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ beansforyou   03/19/04 09:34 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS kittie74   03/21/04 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ henry1   03/20/04 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ night_shade   03/18/04 09:48 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ charismah   03/20/04 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Deedie   03/19/04 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ catmom   03/18/04 11:46 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ yawkaw3   02/08/04 02:42 PM
. * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ plotinus   02/08/04 03:22 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Opie_Yates   02/08/04 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ trippinwilly   02/08/04 11:43 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Anglwink   04/03/04 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   04/05/04 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS daddyj   05/24/04 11:46 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   05/24/04 06:24 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS daddyj   08/31/04 01:57 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Stardog   09/01/04 05:31 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Billyl   09/01/04 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   09/02/04 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS PIGINPAIN   09/02/04 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Billyl   09/04/04 05:24 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   09/04/04 09:54 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS prettyday   09/02/04 01:33 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS daddyj   09/01/04 09:54 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS PIGINPAIN   08/13/04 03:45 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS bills   05/06/04 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS meowsie   10/16/04 12:35 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Sweetz   10/16/04 03:03 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS rockystuart   05/06/04 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS TIGGIE   05/08/04 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS difficult   05/08/04 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS lovely11   05/06/04 08:10 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS building   05/05/04 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Anglwink   04/06/04 06:38 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Lyncher   02/10/04 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ L5s1   02/10/04 11:57 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Firefairy   02/11/04 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Opie_Yates   02/11/04 08:19 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS curious   02/11/04 10:16 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS henry1   02/11/04 11:47 AM
. * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Julz   02/25/04 05:33 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS 14stones   02/29/04 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   02/29/04 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS 14stones   03/06/04 08:48 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   03/09/04 08:17 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS 14stones   03/09/04 09:25 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   03/09/04 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS 14stones   03/09/04 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   03/09/04 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS 14stones   03/09/04 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   03/08/04 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS 14stones   03/09/04 07:31 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Trampy   03/09/04 08:01 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS sanclemente   03/08/04 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS misspiggy   02/29/04 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS macarena17   03/02/04 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Pinkie   03/04/04 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS johng   02/11/04 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Lyncher   02/11/04 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS PlyrLacy   02/11/04 12:15 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS PlyrLacy   02/11/04 09:26 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS charismah   02/24/04 11:40 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS JoannefromPa   02/24/04 07:10 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS charismah   02/25/04 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS daisyrn   02/12/04 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS safe13   02/17/04 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS PlyrLacy   02/12/04 11:37 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS Seano   02/13/04 12:07 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS TwG   02/17/04 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS joesentme   02/11/04 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Trampy   02/08/04 09:58 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ 2muchpain   02/09/04 02:37 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Whatsnew   02/08/04 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ pstorm   02/08/04 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Opie_Yates   02/08/04 09:07 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Trampy   02/08/04 09:55 PM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Jesse024   02/08/04 09:51 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ Larry_Rinker   02/08/04 10:53 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ mackmoves   08/31/04 09:26 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS READ tem33   02/08/04 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS safe13   02/08/04 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Busted in a huge way! WARNING TO YOU ALL, PLS AngelWolf13   07/12/04 01:46 PM

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